Victoria's waste projection model

Victoria’s waste projection model estimates waste generation in Victoria to 2050.

Victoria’s waste projection model combines data from a range of sources to produce waste generation and its fate within Victoria from 2015/16 to 2019/20.

The data sources used to compile the actuals dataset includes:

• Victorian Recycling Industry Annual Survey

• Australian Bureau of Statistics export data

• National Plastics Survey data

• Environment Protection Authority Victoria Landfill Levy statement data

• Landfill composition audit data.

The model combines the above datasets, takes the average of the most recent three years of actuals for each material type and applies material type specific projection factors (low, mid and high) to produce a baseline projection to the year 2050.

Waste Projection model dashboard - https://www.vic.gov.au/victorias-waste-projection-model-dashboard